US Dollar Gains on Mixed Data, China Trade News

The  US dollar  gained momentum on  Friday, extending its gains over the past week. The greenback edged higher on  mixed economic reports were released and  breaking news that  China is offering a  $1 trillion-a-year olive branch on  imports that could end the  trade war almost immediately.

Consumer sentiment cratered to  its lowest level since President Donald Trump was elected. The  University of  Michigan index plunged from 98.3 in  December to  90.7 in  January. The  median estimates had pegged a  reading of  97.5.
What drove the  decline? Richard Curtin, chief economist for  the  survey, listed several factors:

The  loss was due to  a  host of  issues including the  partial government shutdown, the  impact of  tariffs, instabilities in  financial markets, the  global slowdown, and  the  lack of  clarity about monetary policies.

In  other data, US manufacturing production in  December spiked by  the  most in  10 months, buoyed by  output in  motor vehicles and  other consumer goods. According to  the  Federal Reserve, manufacturing output rose 1.1% last month, beating market forecasts of  0.3%. Factory production has now increased a  2.3% annualized rate in  the  fourth quarter.
Earlier this week, the  producer price index (PPI) dropped 0.2%, bringing the  12-month wholesale inflation rate to  2.5%.
Investors are salivating over breaking news reports from Bloomberg that China has offered to  ramp up imports from the  US. According to  the  business news network, Beijing has proposed to  purchase American products totaling $1 trillion per year for  the  next six years.
Should Beijing institute this policy, the  world’s second-largest economy would eliminate its trade imbalance by  2024. In  2018, China had a  trade surplus with the  US of  $323 billion.
This comes one day after The  Wall Street Journal reported that Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin suggested minimizing tariffs on  Chinese goods as  both sides engage in  bitter trade negotiations. The  speculation was shot down after a  senior White House official confirmed that “no discussion of  lifting tariffs now.”
Both reports have sent global equities markets surging.
The  USD/CAD currency pair tumbled 0.23% to  1.3245, from an  opening of  1.3280, at  15:12 GMT on  Friday. The  EUR/USD slipped 0.25% to  1.1364, from an  opening of  1.1390.

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